Kyle Kondik

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UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA

Overall, Ohio voters stuck with the center of their political parties yesterdayin picking their statewide and congressional candidates. But the centers of Democratic and Republican politics remain well separated. We spoke with Kyle Kondik, author of “The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President,” about what the primary election revealed and what it portends for the fall. 

A photo composite of Ohio gubernatioral candidates Mary Taylor (left) and Mike DeWine (right.)
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Tomorrow’s primary results will determine the people who will represent the major political parties in this fall’s races for governor, Congress, the state Legislature and for the Republicans – U.S. Senate. But they could also hint at developments later this year.

 

  

 

The Republicans

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THE STATE OF OHIO

History suggests that the party not represented in the White House does well in midterm Congressional elections – and this year Ohio’s five executive offices, including governor, are also on the ballot, along with U.S. Senate. It's likely these races will get a lot of national attention.

OHIO PUBLIC TELEVISION

Ohio’s population growth isn’t keeping up with some other states, and that could mean a big change after the 2020 census. 

Ohio’s population has been growing, but at a much slower rate than many other states. Kyle Kondik with the University of Virginia's Center for Politics says if that trajectory continues, it's very possible the state could lose one of its 16 seats in Congress.

photo of Kyle Kondik
THE STATE OF OHIO

With less than a week until Election Day, several polls show Donald Trump is closing in on Hillary Clinton nationwide and leading in Ohio. The author of a recent book on Ohio's role in picking a president says the FBI’s decision to announce it's reviewing emails from the computer of a Clinton aide could be historic.

Election analyst Kyle Kondik with the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics notes that Clinton's lead has been shrinking.

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